2018 NFL Draft: Who will be the first QB selected?

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Prior to Week 2 of the 2017 College Football season, BetOnline posted a prop bet on which QB would be selected first in the 2018 NFL Draft. This doesn’t mean that they have to go #1 overall, just the first of the quarterbacks to be drafted. Since then, they’ve re-posted odds which are shown below:

QB School Dec 28 Oct 24 Sep 21 Sep 14 Sep 9
Sam Darnold USC +175 +400 +200 +175 +250
Josh Rosen UCLA +250 +275 +350 +350 +300
Josh Allen Wyoming +600 +450 +650 +400 +400
Lamar Jackson Louisville +650 +600 +1000 +1000 +1400
Mason Rudolph Okla St +700 +600 +800 +1200 +800
Luke Falk Wash St +1200 +1000 +1000 +1400 +1200
Baker Mayfield Oklahoma +1400 +2000 +4000 +5000 +6600
Will Grier WVU +1600 +1600 +1400 +1600 +1400
Nick Fitzgerald Miss St +5000 +5000 +3300 +4000 +2800
Richard Lagow Indiana N/A +25000 +25000 +25000 +8000
Ryan Finley NC State N/A +5000 n/a n/a n/a
Chase Litton Marshall N/A +3300 +3300 +4000 +4000
Jake Browning Washington N/A +6600 +6600 +8000 +10000
Jarrett Stidham Auburn N/A +8000 +8000 +10000 +4000
Kyle Allen Houston N/A +8000 +8000 +10000 +10000
JT Barrett Ohio St N/A +10000 +10000 +25000 +25000
Brent Stockstill MTSU N/A +12500 +12500 +10000 +12500
Tanner Mangum BYU N/A +25000 +25000 +25000 +10000
Riley Ferguson Memphis N/A +3300 +5000 +8000 +8000
  • Sam Darnold was the Heisman favorite heading into the season but it was Baker Mayfield who ended up winning the award. Even though Mayfield has seen his odds get better to be the 1st QB selected, it’s very likely that others go before him.
  • Darnold and Rosen didn’t have the best seasons, but they remain the top-2 favorites.
  • Lamar Jackson’s odds have gotten a little better throughout the year, and he’s a QB to keep an eye on. It’s hard to determine whether his style of play will be successful in the NFL, but there’s no denying how impressive he was in college.

Who would you rather take to build an NFL team around, Darnold or Rosen? Do you see a team that would pass on both QBs and select someone like Josh Allen, Lamar Jackson or Mason Rudolph?

 

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