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Losses to the Chiefs, Panthers and stealing a win over the Texans seem like a lifetime ago for the Patriots. New England has ripped off six straight wins while giving up only 12.5 points per game over that span.
With the Patriots streaking and facing a flailing Dolphins team in Week 12, oddsmakers opened the Pats as 17-point home favorites, the largest spread of the season.
In fact, this is the biggest NFL spread since December of 2016 and should it close at this number, would only be the 13th game with spread of 17 points or more since we started tracking NFL data in 2003.
NFL games with a closing spread of 17+ points, since 2003.
| Date | Team | Opponent | Spread | ATS Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/24/16 | Patriots | Jets | -17 | W |
| 10/13/13 | Broncos | Jaguars | -27 | L |
| 9/22/13 | Seahawks | Jaguars | -19.5 | W |
| 12/30/12 | Broncos | Chiefs | -17 | W |
| 12/4/11 | Patriots | Colts | -20.5 | L |
| 11/21/11 | Patriots | Chiefs | -17 | W |
| 11/15/09 | Vikings | Lions | -17 | P |
| 12/23/07 | Patriots | Dolphins | -22 | L |
| 12/16/07 | Patriots | Jets | -20.5 | L |
| 12/3/07 | Patriots | Ravens | -19 | L |
| 11/25/07 | Patriots | Eagles | -24 | L |
| 11/13/05 | Colts | Texans | -17.5 | L |
The Patriots are no strangers to large point spreads and make up seven of the 12 instances in the table above.
Will the public lay the points and how will sharps react? Track real-time odds and betting percentage updates for all Week 12 games on our Free NFL Live Odds page.
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