NFL Predictions Week 11: Full Projections, Odds, Highlighting Top Fantasy Stars

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Fantasy football managers will hope their stars enjoy more Week 11 success than the New Orleans Saints and Carolina Panthers.

In a rare Thursday Night Football game stacked with premium talent, none of the top NFL players delivered an eye-opening stat line. Jonathan Stewart salvaged his evening with a touchdown, and most quarterbacks would take 285 yards and two touchdowns considered humdrum for Drew Brees. Tim Hightower flourished—especially in point-per-reception leagues—but Mark Ingram left New Orleans' 23-20 loss early.

Cam Newton, Greg Olsen, Kelvin Benjamin and Brandin Cooks all finished the bout that was advertised as a potential shootout with underwhelming numbers. Their owners must hope for big gains elsewhere to amend the rough start.

Can these stars fare better this weekend? Let's examine a few notable cases after running through Week 11's schedule and odds, courtesy of Odds Shark.

                         

Marcus Mariota, QB, Tennessee Titans

On the heels of a scorching-hot streak, Marcus Mariota is suddenly ESPN.com's No. 4 fantasy quarterback and overall scorer this season. That's partially because the Tennessee Titans haven't had their bye week yet, but it also has a little to do with the second-year pro scoring 18 touchdowns (including one run) over his last six games.

The Titans have scored 202 points over that breakout stretch, capped out by a nearly flawless Week 10 display. Last year's No. 2 pick surgically demolished the Green Bay Packers last week, going 19-of-26 for 295 passing yards and four touchdowns.

As noted by NFL GameDay, he has shined his brightest in the red zone since arriving from Oregon:

During this captivating run, Mariota's worst performance came against the Indianapolis Colts. Even though he only completed 22 of 37 passes in a losing effort, he finished with a passable 232 passing yards, two touchdowns and a lost fumble.

Throughout the season, however, the Colts have relinquished an NFL-worst 287.9 passing yards per contest. They have also only snatched three interceptions, which ties the Jacksonville Jaguars for the league's lowest tally. A rematch at Lucas Oil Stadium is as good a spot as any for Mariota to keep rolling.

Mariota is cementing his spot as a viable weekly fantasy starter. In a favorable matchup, he's a borderline top-five option.

Projections: 24-of-35, 275 Passing Yards, 2 Touchdowns, 25 Rushing Yards

                     

Ezekiel Elliott, RB, Dallas Cowboys

Is Ezekiel Elliott matchup proof? His investors, likely on cloud nine because of the rookie running back's dominance, will find out when the Dallas Cowboys face the Baltimore Ravens.

Baltimore's stellar run-prevention unit has allowed an NFL-low 71.2 rushing yards per game and 3.3 yards per rush. As a result, opposing rushers have mustered a league-worst 10.9 ESPN.com fantasy points per game against the AFC North leader.

Before pointing to a fortuitous schedule, the Ravens limited Le'Veon Bell to 32 rushing yards on 14 carries in Week 9's win over the Pittsburgh Steelers. The star running back somewhat salvaged his fantasy outing with six reception for 38 yards, but that was the only game this season in which he failed to exceed 100 yards from scrimmage.

Of course, Elliott is still the NFL's leading rusher with 1,005 yards. Behind a dominant offensive line, he compiled 209 total yards and three touchdowns during Week 10's victory over Pittsburgh. He has also received a hearty 24 touches per game.

Per ESPN.com's Jamsion Hensley, Ravens defensive tackle Brandon Williams said they must conquer Dallas' impenetrable shield to derail Elliott.

"He’s a really good back. He’s proven that he can do it," Williams said. "My biggest thing is his power comes from his offensive line. It’s kind of like, cut the head of the snake."

Let's get real: No sane Elliott owner will bench him because of a rough matchup. If anything, his difficult opponent will cause daily players to fade the neophyte, which could make the burgeoning star an intriguing contrarian play.

He receives too heavy a workload to worry, especially since Week 1's 51 rushing yards and a touchdown represent the worst performance of his young career. Just don't expect another monster Sunday. 

Projections: 21 Carries, 77 Rushing Yards, 1 TD, 2 Receptions, 15 Yards

                      

Allen Robinson, WR, Jacksonville Jaguars

Hey there, Allen Robinson. Nice to join everyone else in 2016.

One of the season's biggest early disappointments, the wide receiver encored a breakout 2015 by collecting 296 yards on 26 catches over the Jaguars' first six games. He has since turned the corner, most recently recording his first 100-yard game of the season last weekend:

Dynasty League Football's Ryan McDowell accentuated the 23-year-old's recent revival:

Despite Robinson's turnaround, he's still on pace to fall short of 1,000 yards after netting 1,400 last season. A touchdown machine in 2015, he had also endured end-zone regression before scoring twice in Jacksonville's past two games, both losses.

Yet quarterback Blake Bortles targeted his top wideout at least a dozen times in each of the last three games. That's good news heading into Week 11's meeting with the Detroit Lions, who have allowed an NFL-high 74.1 completion percentage for 7.8 yards per attempt.

According to Football Outsiders, the Lions rank last in Defense-adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA) and allow 71.3 yards per game to No. 1 wide receivers. Expected to continue his resurgence with some big plays against a flimsy defense, it's safe to once again appraise Robinson as a top-10 receiver this weekend.

Projections: 7 Receptions, 12 Targets, 105 Yards, 1 TD

Read more NFL news on BleacherReport.com

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